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<title>The Micah Report</title>
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<modified>2012-02-09T04:55:34Z</modified>
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<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1</id>
<generator url="http://www.movabletype.org/" version="3.11">Movable Type</generator>
<copyright>Copyright (c) 2012, Micah Halpern</copyright>
<entry>
<title>Inside Syria</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/inside_syria.html" />
<modified>2012-02-09T04:55:34Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-09T04:52:08Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2750</id>
<created>2012-02-09T04:52:08Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Thursday February 9, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: There is no doubt that innocent people are being slaughtered in Syria. And there are people who want to oust Syrian dictator Bashar Assad. Most of those slaughtered have been, and will continue...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Thursday February 9, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>There is no doubt that innocent people are being slaughtered in Syria.<br />
And there are people who want to oust Syrian dictator Bashar Assad.  Most of those slaughtered have been, and will continue to be, those who do not support Assad or who are working to oust Assad.</p>

<p>The foreign minister of Russia came to Syria to dress him down Assad and make him promise to stop the killings of innocents.  And that same day more innocent people were killed in the city of Homs.  </p>

<p>Against that back drop there are huge rallies in Damascus in support of Assad.</p>

<p>This is a tale of two different Syrias.  <br />
One Syria feels oppressed and wants to revolt.  The other Syria is part of the establishment and wants things to stay the same with only cosmetic changes.</p>

<p>Syria is a very small country.  In a country of about 23 million people, only 3 metropolitan areas have over a million residents - Aleppo with more than 2 million, Damascus with 1.7 million and Homs with 1.2 million.  </p>

<p>Aleppo has been quiet during the entire revolt and is thought to be with the leadership.  Damascus has had some riots and excitement but it has been pretty quiet and this city, too, is thought to side with the leadership.  Homs has been a hotbed of anti-Assad activity as has been the city of Hama with its 790,000 residents.</p>

<p>Looking around Syria, it does not appear that everyone is on the "oust Assad" train.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Jewish Arbor Day-15th of Shvat</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/jewish_arbor_da.html" />
<modified>2012-02-08T05:19:41Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-08T05:12:40Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2749</id>
<created>2012-02-08T05:12:40Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">February 8, 2012 Column: Tu b&apos;Shvat is called the Jewish Arbor Day. But the timeline is backwards. Arbor Day was first celebrated on April 10th in the year 1872, in the state of Nebraska, by J. Sterling Morton. Since then...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Columns</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>February 8, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>Column:</strong></p>

<p>Tu b'Shvat is called the Jewish Arbor Day.  But the timeline is backwards.</p>

<p>Arbor Day was first celebrated on April 10th in the year 1872, in the state of Nebraska, by J. Sterling Morton.  Since then many countries around the world have adopted the idea and created their own Arbor Day.  On that first Arbor Day it is estimated that Nebraskans planted one million trees.  </p>

<p>There is no doubt that the Hebrew birthday of the trees far preceded the modern celebration.</p>

<p>Modern Zionists, founders of the State of Israel, grabbed on to the date Tu b'Shvat, the 15th day of the month of Shvat, as a way to bridge the past with the present.  They wanted to extend Jewish tradition and its connectedness to the land to their modern ideas of cultivation, trees and ownership.</p>

<p>Tu B'Shvat is first mentioned in the Mishna of Rosh Hashannah during an important discussion over distinctions within the Jewish lunar calendar.  The discussion centered on the question of what is the start of the year - is it Nissan, the month that houses the Passover holiday and ushers in the spring or is it the month of Tishrei, when Rosh HaShannah, the New Year, is celebrated. </p>

<p>The Mishna rules that there are four New Years.  One, Rosh Hashannah or Tishrei, the new year for the world and the time the world was created.  Two, Passover or Nissan, the new year for freedom and rebirth.  Three, a new year to commemorate the coronation of kings.  Four, Tu B'Shvat, the new year for the trees.</p>

<p>During their thousands of years of Jewish life in the Diaspora Jews yearned for many things.  The yearning to return to Jerusalem and rebuild the Temple was primary and they often repeated the phrase L' Shana Ha'ba b'Yerushalyim, next year in Jerusalem.  And they also yearned to plant trees in the Holy Land and they clung to a tradition that respected, even revered, nature.</p>

<p>The planting of trees was easier to conceptualize.  The rebuilding of the Temple was  ethereal and difficult to understand.  </p>

<p>Eating "bokser" or dried carob and thinking of acacia trees, olive trees and date trees was much more practical.  So when Herzl created the modern Zionist movement one of the items that he established was a land bank that bought land and planted trees.  This resonated with European Jews.  It was, for them, a modernized fruition of Tu B'Shvat.</p>

<p>That was the precursor to JNF, the Jewish National Fund - the official gardeners and foresters of the State of Israel.  Every Jewish parent and grandparent had a little blue box in their home.  </p>

<p>It was the JNF "pushka", the charity box.  And every year those boxes were filled and sent to Israel in order to plant trees and reclaim the land.  And school kids received certificates with little stamps to lick and stick on a tree announcing proudly that you had bought a tree to be planted in a forest in Israel.  (Hardly a forest the way we imagined in North America.)</p>

<p>Tu b'Shvat enabled Jews to build the land, it transformed the Jewish people from victims to masters of their own destiny.  When we put money in the blue pushka it was not only to cultivate the land, it was to cultivate a new generation of Jews proudly called Israelis.  </p>

<p>The myth was so deeply in bread that a delinquent Israeli youth might plunder and pillage, but they would never, ever, pick a wild flower.<br />
And there was nothing wrong with that image.  But today, that very same image, that very same forest, cultivated with those trees, is seen as a symbol of occupation by the Palestinian.</p>

<p>How could something so good be interpreted as being so oppressive?</p>

<p>The answer is simple.  The original idealistic Zionists paid very little attentions to local Arabs.  For the founders of Israel settling the land and buying land and cultivating land and planting trees was seen only through their context.  And to the Arab residents the Zionists were few in number and seen as weird Europeans who spoke and dressed differently.  They even had women working the fields dressed in shorts and shirts.</p>

<p>The clash would only happen when it was too late to create any real rapprochement.  When the Arabs realized that the Zionists were in Israel to stay, by the time they figured out that the power had shifted - the locals no longer had any real influence.  Today's tensions and what is referred to as the "situation" are an outgrowth of that very realization. The power is now in the hands of those who bought the land and cultivated it, those who expanded the arable land and planted and then planted more and more.  Those who built modern cities, not those who once lived on and then sold the land.  <br />
This is all an outgrowth of Tu b'Shvat </p>

<p>The victims in the success story called Tu b'Shvat are the Arabs still living in the area.  They were, and are still, ill equipped to handle the modern challenges that Israel presents.  The best solution would be to co-op the locals and help them engage in the same transformation that morphed the Jews into Israelis.</p>

<p>But I don't see that happening.  Their leadership will not let it happen and they are not strong or organized enough to go it alone.</p>

<p>Tu b'Shvat, once a simple act, now a raging symbol.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Turks Upset at Swiss</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/turks_upset_at.html" />
<modified>2012-02-07T04:22:22Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-07T04:20:26Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2748</id>
<created>2012-02-07T04:20:26Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Tuesday February 7, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: The Turkish foreign ministry has summoned the Swiss ambassador. The Turks want an explanation. The Swiss have launched an investigation into the Turkish EU Minister suggesting that he may have violated international protocols...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Tuesday February 7, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>The Turkish foreign ministry has summoned the Swiss ambassador.  The Turks want an explanation.</p>

<p>The Swiss have launched an investigation into the Turkish EU Minister suggesting that he may have violated international protocols by denying the Armenian genocide.</p>

<p>The Turks are livid.  </p>

<p>They are saying such an investigation is unacceptable and they will tell the Swiss ambassador just that.  Turkey will demand an explanation as to why this investigation is happening.</p>

<p>The Turks have already had a diplomatic skirmish with France over this very same issue.  There is a big problem here, bigger than diplomacy, it is a nationalist issue.  It is against European Union law to deny the genocide - but part and parcel of Turkish identity is to deny the Armenian catastrophe.</p>

<p>Right now, Turkish leadership is extremely volatile.  They are overreacting to almost every international issue, not looking for solutions or detante.  This is one blatant indication of the frayed nerves and extreme reactions of Turkish leadership.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Pull Aid From Egypt Already</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/pull_aid_from_e.html" />
<modified>2012-02-06T14:09:52Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-06T14:05:44Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2747</id>
<created>2012-02-06T14:05:44Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Monday February 6, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: One may have thought that things could not get any worse when it came to Egypt and their new incarnation. Now hear this: The new military leadership in Egypt has decided to put...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Monday February 6, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>One may have thought that things could not get any worse when it came to Egypt and their new incarnation.  </p>

<p>Now hear this:  The new military leadership in Egypt has decided to put 19 Americans plus 24 other employees of NGO's on trial.  They are charged with using foreign funds to foment political unrest.<br />
These 43 people work for pro-democratic organizations, for organizations that helped oust Mubarak.</p>

<p>At first Egypt said that these workers could not travel, now they will stand trial.  The military is deeply troubled that these organizations teach about accountability and responsibility, preach equality and equal protection and want justice.</p>

<p>These are all red flags and dangerous terms in the new Egypt.</p>

<p>The United States has threatened to pull monetary aid.  </p>

<p>At this point the US must do something - intervene or pull not some but all aid to Egypt.  If the United States does not act decisively, harshly and quickly, there will be no chance of saving these 43 people.  </p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>PA Hamas Meet in Qatar</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/pa_hamas_meet_i.html" />
<modified>2012-02-05T15:14:28Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-05T15:11:20Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2746</id>
<created>2012-02-05T15:11:20Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Sunday February 5, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: The head of the Palestinians Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, and the head of Hamas, Khalad Mashaal, met on Sunday in Doha the capital of Qatar. They met to talk about creating an independent interim...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Sunday February 5, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>The head of the Palestinians Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, and the head of Hamas, Khalad Mashaal, met on Sunday in Doha the capital of Qatar.</p>

<p>They met to talk about creating an independent interim government which would enable and organize presidential and parliamentary elections.</p>

<p>The PA and Hamas have been talking about unity and about elections for some significant time now, but have not yet progressed any further than saying that this is what we want.</p>

<p>This time also there is very little chance of success.  Hamas think that they have already been elected - and have not yet served.  The PA does not want to cede any power.  </p>

<p>Creating a government to enable an election is a potential black hole.  Once an interim government is in place there is no guarantee that elections will follow.  And even if there are elections there are no guarantees they will be honest or that the results will be honored.</p>

<p>History has taught us that there is almost no chance of uniting the PA and Hamas in order to bring about united Palestinian elections.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Iran - IAEA Failure</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/iran_iaea_failu.html" />
<modified>2012-02-05T15:13:53Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-03T21:54:45Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2745</id>
<created>2012-02-03T21:54:45Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Saturday February 4, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: How naive and how gullible are we? The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) wrapped up its meeting in Iran and then fed us all a great line. The meetings, they said, were positive...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Saturday February 4, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>How naive and how gullible are we?</p>

<p>The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) wrapped up its meeting in Iran and then fed us all a great line.  The meetings, they said, were positive - the Iranians are interested in talks and in inspections and there is a second round scheduled for later in February.</p>

<p>True, but only a partial story.  The inspectors asked to see the facility in Parchin and the Iranians did not permit their entry.</p>

<p>Here is where it gets very tricky.  The Iranians did not use the word "no" they just sidestepped the question.  End result is that the IAEA inspectors were not permitted to inspect Parchin because the Iranians did not allow it, but yes, the Iranians did not say no to the IAEA.</p>

<p>Here is where it becomes troubling.  Because the Iranians did not say no, the meetings and talks were considered a success in the eyes of the West and of the IAEA.</p>

<p>This is hardly a success - it is playing right into the hands of the very capable Iranians.  It might come as a surprise to Westerners, but in many cultures - including Persian culture, it is impolite to say "no" and there are literally numerous ways of saying no without saying no.</p>

<p>Once again, the Iranians have succeeded in doing things their way.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Comic Sentenced in Egypt - Insutling Islam</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/comic_sentenced.html" />
<modified>2012-02-03T05:23:06Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-03T05:19:39Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2744</id>
<created>2012-02-03T05:19:39Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Friday February 3, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: One of the Arab world&apos;s most popular comedians was convicted and sentenced to 30 months in prison yesterday for the crime of insulting Islam. This, not surprisingly, happened in the New Egypt. Adel...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Friday February 3, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>One of the Arab world's most popular comedians was convicted and sentenced to 30 months in prison yesterday for the crime of insulting Islam.</p>

<p>This, not surprisingly, happened in the New Egypt.  </p>

<p>Adel Imam, a truly iconic character in the Arabic world, has been an entertainment fixture for years.  His shtick is to poke fun at politicians and politics.  His humor is a test of the prevailing winds.  At times, he went too far.  </p>

<p>The sentence was handed down as a result of a 2001 movie called Morgan Ahmed Morgan. The film tells the story of a corrupt businessman who tries to buy a university diploma.   The Egyptian sentencing judge said that Imam depicted Islamic symbols with disrespect and that he disrespectfully depicted a group of men dressed in Islamic garb.  Imam went too far for the sensibilities of New Egyptian leadership.</p>

<p>Imam's most popular role was in a 1998 movie called Al Zaeem in which he played an Arab dictator.  In 2008 he was found guilty of defaming lawyers, but that decision was overruled.</p>

<p>Adel Imam was tried in absentia.  It was said that he was in Egypt recently to film a TV series but no one knows his current whereabouts.  </p>

<p>One of the Arab world's most popular comedians has fallen out of favor by the New Egypt.  During the rebellion Adel Imam defended Mubarak.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Germany Upgrade PA Diplomats</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/02/germant_upgrade.html" />
<modified>2012-02-02T05:15:19Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-02T05:11:05Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2743</id>
<created>2012-02-02T05:11:05Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Thursday February 2, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Yesterday Germany upgraded the diplomatic status of the Palestinian Authority. The PA had been a &quot;representation&quot; and now they are a &quot;mission.&quot; A mission means that the top representative to the host country...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Thursday February 2, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Yesterday Germany upgraded the diplomatic status of the Palestinian Authority.  The PA had been a "representation" and now they are a "mission."  A mission means that the top representative to the host country is a ambassador that they may fly their flag.</p>

<p>This is a serious increase in diplomatic clout.  Germany follows France, Spain, Portugal and Ireland in upgrading the PA.</p>

<p>Israel responded to the diplomatic upgrade by saying that the PA is getting the wrong message.  Israel is saying that the Palestinian Authority is being rewarded with diplomatic upgrades for walking away from the negotiation table.  </p>

<p>Israel is trying to suggest that the opposite should have taken place.  Dangle the diplomatic upgrade as a reward in order to influence the PA to act diplomatically - don't just give that diplomatic perk away.</p>

<p>There is something fundamentally flawed in this picture.  Diplomatic upgrades are huge and they just don't slip back down in status, they should be achieved as the result of serious transitions, not wishful thinking and vacuous promises.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>US, Israel, Iran, Sryia</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/us_israel_iran.html" />
<modified>2012-02-01T04:29:14Z</modified>
<issued>2012-02-01T04:26:44Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2742</id>
<created>2012-02-01T04:26:44Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Wednesday February 1, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: The Senate Intelligence Committee held a hearing yesterday. Syria and Iran were on the agenda. David Petraeus, head of the CIA, explained to the senators that Israel and the United States see the...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Wednesday February 1, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>The Senate Intelligence Committee held a hearing yesterday. Syria and Iran were on the agenda. </p>

<p>David Petraeus, head of the CIA, explained to the senators that Israel and the United States see the threat of Iran differently.  </p>

<p>From his testimony it became clear that Tamir Pardo, chief of Israel's Mossad, had been in Washington DC on Thursday.  <br />
This little bit of information made my jaw drop.  The travel plans of the Mossad head are never supposed to be common knowledge.</p>

<p>The Committee also heard that there seems to be no real compromise position in Syria and that Iran sees the Assad regime as an asset.  The senators were told that the loss of Syria as an Iranian asset would be a great loss to the Iranians.</p>

<p>What the United States does not seem to understand is that:<br />
#1:  Assad will not leave on his own<br />
#2:  the locals do not have the wherewithal to oust Assad.  </p>

<p>They people of Syria need help, our help, help from the West.  Iran is helping Assad stay in power.  </p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>US Israel Tensions on Iran</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/us_israel_tensi.html" />
<modified>2012-01-31T04:57:49Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-31T04:54:37Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2741</id>
<created>2012-01-31T04:54:37Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Tuesday January 31, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Tensions between the United States and Israel about how to respond to Iran continue to rise. They have a clear difference of approach on how to handle the situation. Israel has no doubt...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Tuesday January 31, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Tensions between the United States and Israel about how to respond to Iran continue to rise.  They have a clear difference of approach on how to handle the situation.</p>

<p>Israel has no doubt that Iran is on the verge of nuclear independence which would, in turn, enable the Iranians to provide enough refined uranium to make nuclear warheads. Israel says that the "window" is 5 months to 18 months.  Action must take place before that window closes.</p>

<p>The United States sees the situation very differently.  The US wants to continue to monitor and not act.  It is far less of a threat for the US and the clock is not ticking nearly as loud as it is for Israel.</p>

<p>But both the US and Israel - and add to that even Iran, know that Israel does not have a knockout punch that would eliminate the entire Iranian nuclear threat.  Rather, Israel has a knockdown punch which will delay progress.  That means that the US will also have to engage Iran if they want to do the job right.</p>

<p>Israel has another option.  They can attack the sites of Iran's national infrastructure - the military headquarters, the intelligence centers, the communication centers, the command and control centers.</p>

<p>That may be the best backup plan Israel can develop.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Iran Says Oil Will Rise to $150</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/iran_says_oil_w.html" />
<modified>2012-01-30T05:27:47Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-30T05:24:05Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2740</id>
<created>2012-01-30T05:24:05Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Monday January 30, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Iran has begun to play hard ball. Iran wants to frighten and to threaten the West. Yesterday Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qassami announced that Iran will soon stop exporting oil to certain Western...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Monday January 30, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Iran has begun to play hard ball.  Iran wants to frighten and to threaten the West.</p>

<p>Yesterday Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qassami announced that Iran will soon stop exporting oil to certain Western European countries.  </p>

<p>This announcement came at the same time that the vote in the Iranian parliament over a bill to cease exporting oil to Western European countries was postponed.</p>

<p>Qassami also said that he anticipates that oil will soon reach between $120 - $150 a barrel.</p>

<p>These statements and actions are all meant to strike fear into the hearts of Western decision makers.</p>

<p>Increasing the cost of oil to $150 a barrel will be a crushing blow to certain economies - especially Western European economies.  These countries are dependent on oil - and they had already decided that as of June 31 they will not renew any new Iranian oil contracts.</p>

<p>That decision is at the root of Iran's decision to shoot back with statements and moves aimed at hurting Western Europe.  Iran rightly believes that Europe cannot sustain itself without reasonably priced oil.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Hamas Has Upset Iran</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/hamas_has_upset.html" />
<modified>2012-01-29T14:29:44Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-29T14:27:02Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2739</id>
<created>2012-01-29T14:27:02Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Sunday January 29, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Hamas has a real problem. They have, to use a colloquialism, ticked off their sugar daddy. And so, next week Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh will be on his way to Iran to beg...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Sunday January 29, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Hamas has a real problem.  They have, to use a colloquialism, ticked off their sugar daddy.</p>

<p>And so, next week Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh will be on his way to Iran to beg for money and support.  Haniyeh just returned from his very first trip outside of Gaza, now he will be travelling again.</p>

<p>Iran is so angry at Hamas that under normal circumstances it would be doubtful that they would grant an extension on their lease - for life and for money.</p>

<p>What did Hamas do wrong?  Hamas did not support Assad.  Iran asked Hamas to lend support and instead Hamas spoke out against Assad.  Now Hamas no longer has an interim home in Syria.  </p>

<p>As if the situation was not grim enough, a group of Shiites were attacked a few weeks ago in Gaza.  That was the nail in the coffin for Hamas.  </p>

<p>Iran is not going to be easily swayed.  The only thing going for Hamas is that Iran needs proxies and they need friends - now more than ever.  If they beg hard enough, Hamas might just be able to bring Iran around, at least for the short term.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Sacking Embassies in Cairo</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/sacking_embassi.html" />
<modified>2012-01-27T21:06:18Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-27T21:03:31Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2738</id>
<created>2012-01-27T21:03:31Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Saturday January 28, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Yesterday in Cairo the Syria embassy was raided. It was sacked. The first and second floors were totally destroyed by rioters. At first it was assumed that the rioters were disgruntled Syrians attacking...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Saturday January 28, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Yesterday in Cairo the Syria embassy was raided.  It was sacked.  The first and second floors were totally destroyed by rioters.<br />
At first it was assumed that the rioters were disgruntled Syrians attacking a symbol of their oppressive thugocracy.</p>

<p>But looking at the video it appears that while some of the vandals may be frustrated expat Syrians, the mob was primarily local Egyptians frustrated by the Assad government in Syria and the continued murder of innocent civilians.</p>

<p>I know --- the irony is not lost:  Egyptians protesting violence by perpetrating a violent act which could have ended in the brutal murder of embassy employees.</p>

<p>The sacking of the embassy was not really covered by the media.  But neither was the sacking of the Saudi embassy a few months ago.</p>

<p>The raid on the Israeli embassy was covered but at first, very slowly.  It happened over a weekend so it really was hard to get any real coverage and by the time it was covered, it was over.</p>

<p>It seems that in Cairo, sacking embassies has become a feature of the political landscape and an expression of freedom of speech.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Warning About Iran</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/warning_about_i.html" />
<modified>2012-01-27T05:16:32Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-27T05:13:48Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2737</id>
<created>2012-01-27T05:13:48Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Friday January 27, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: Dubai Police Chief Lieutenant-General Dahi Khalfan is currently visiting Bahrain. Khalafan took the opportunity to speak about tensions in the region. He explained that the region is close to war. He said that...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Friday January 27, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>Dubai Police Chief Lieutenant-General Dahi Khalfan is currently visiting Bahrain.  Khalafan took the opportunity to speak about tensions in the region.</p>

<p>He explained that the region is close to war.  He said that the first signs of war are already apparent.</p>

<p>"The world will not allow Iran to block it (the Straits of Hormuz).  But Tehran is capable of narrowing it to the maximum.  In the 1980s, it attacked ships which were afraid to cross the strait. This caused an increase in shipping insurance to enter the Gulf. Prices went up and the region became tense. So, Iran is capable of fomenting tension in the region."</p>

<p>Iran can easily narrow the Straits of Hormuz even more and do it without shooting a single shot  - and it will be the beginning of a strangle hold on the West.</p>

<p>Iran can also slow down the traffic in the Straits by creating such a narrow passage that it requires such a slow and gradual process that it will cause ships to spend several days in the crossing.   </p>

<p>If they do implement this plan it will take Western monitors a while before they even realize what has happened.  By that time Iran will have successfully achieved their goal without conflict and the West will be standing there stupefied and flatfooted.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

<p><strong>To reprint my essays contact sales (at) <a href="http://www.featurewell.com">www.featurewell.com</a></strong><br />
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</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>US to Give Egypt Aid</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://micahhalpern.com/archives/2012/01/us_to_give_egyp.html" />
<modified>2012-01-26T13:42:24Z</modified>
<issued>2012-01-26T13:37:57Z</issued>
<id>tag:micahhalpern.com,2012://1.2736</id>
<created>2012-01-26T13:37:57Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Thursday January 26, 2012 I&apos;ve Been Thinking: The White House has just announced that it will be fast tracking monetary aid to Egypt. The White House is asserting that last week they had unprecedented meetings with the Muslim Brotherhood. Undersecretary...</summary>
<author>
<name>Micah Halpern</name>

<email>ZamMdh@aol.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Thoughts</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://micahhalpern.com/">
<![CDATA[<p><em>Thursday January 26, 2012</em></p>

<p><strong>I've Been Thinking:</strong></p>

<p>The White House has just announced that it will be fast tracking monetary aid to Egypt.</p>

<p>The White House is asserting that last week they had unprecedented meetings with the Muslim Brotherhood.  Undersecretary of State Robert Hormats said that Egypt should earn "more immediate benefits" for its move to democracy. </p>

<p>The White House has been pursuing the Muslim Brotherhood for a while now.   The US ambassador to Egypt and Senator John Kerry were both sent to talk to the Muslim Brotherhood.  That's called high level dialogue and even higher dialogue just took place.  </p>

<p>The Muslim Brotherhood is now a group the White House thinks they can work with.  The White House cannot be more wrong. </p>

<p>Thinking that the Muslim Brotherhood has been turned into a liberal organization and lovers of democracy is simply myopic and wrong.  </p>

<p>There is no real evidence that the Muslim Brotherhood wants to change.  </p>

<p>The only evidence we have is that the Muslim Brotherhood wants US aid.  </p>

<p>They know what they need to say. They know what the US wants to hear.  The Muslim Brotherhood will say anything to get their money.</p>

<p>It just makes no sense.</p>

<p><strong>Read my new book THUGS. It's easy. Just click.</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah">http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=halpern%2C+micah</a></p>

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